South China Sea Diplomacy: More Needs to be Done

By Zha Daojiong

Synopsis
Ongoing high-level diplomacy between China and the Philippines as well as Vietnam points to de-escalating
tension over the South China Sea. A change of assessment in Beijing and Washington of each other in the 
region is a contributing factor. More diplomatic engagements between China and other claimant states are 
desirable. 
Commentary
DIPLOMATIC TENSIONS among China, the Philippines and Vietnam over the South China Sea are showing 
signs of abating, however short-lived they may turn out to be. From 7 to 9 July 2001, Foreign Secretary of the 
Philippines Albert del Rosario visited Beijing reportedly to pave the way for President Benigno Aquino III’s 
China visit that may take place within weeks. 
In late June, in the wake of diplomatic talks between Hanoi and Beijing and pledges of peaceful resolution of 
disputes, the two countries held two days of joint patrols in the Gulf of Tonkin. This exercise is a clear signal of 
mutual goodwill, even though the gulf area lies beyond the disputed waters. Such developments, in light of the 
renewed tensions over the South China Sea, are significant: they point to a desire in the respective Asian 
political capitals for an amicable resolution. A key issue is what to make of the geostrategic competition 
between China and the United Sates that looms in the background.
The Beijing-Washington Nexus
Among the many possible events that bring the South China Sea back to regional and international media 
headlines is how China has been reacting to United States military access to South China Sea waters and 
airspace. In Chinese discussions on this aspect, two issues tend to surface: firstly, the uninvited presence in 
waters close to Hainan Island of a US Navy EP-3 reconnaissance aircraft on 1 April, 2001; and secondly, the 
US Navy’s surveillance ship Impeccable 8 March 2009. Both serve as powerful reminders of China’s anxiety. 
The prevailing common-sense reasoning among Chinese circles goes like this: It is US military vehicles that 
came to waters close to the mainland of China. Would Americans be unconcerned in the event of unannounced 
Chinese naval appearances close to the west coast  of the US, or even Hawaii? Do they not reinforce the view 
of sceptics that the US tends to disregard Chinese sensitivities?
Against this backdrop, when US Secretary of State Clinton, at the July 2010 ASEAN Regional Forum meeting in 
Hanoi, publicly took issue with China over the latter’s handling of the territorial disputes with other claimants,
analysts in China saw a return of  “divide and conquer” tactics. Indeed, for much of the past year, Chinese 
diplomacy towards the entire Southeast Asian region  demonstrated a tendency to prevent states from siding 
more firmly with the US camp.
Heart of the Issue
At the heart of the South China Sea issue that stands between Washington and Beijing is what the US insists is 
freedom of navigation. There are two sides to this coin. For commercial and other non-military use of the South 
China Sea waters and airspace, there exists little room for contention. Indeed, China’s economic wellbeing 
cannot be separated from maintenance of that freedom -- now and into the indefinite future. The bone of
contention between Beijing and Washington is squarely  rooted in competing definitions and interpretations of 
military use of Exclusive Economic Zones. The conceptual and legal gaps between them are wide and the 
possibility for their narrowing low.
What should be emphasised, meanwhile, is that the recent gestures of diplomacy between Beijing and 
Washington over Southeast Asia in general and the South China Sea in particular may well have resulted from 
mutual perceptions of each other’s standing in the region. There is much talk in China about the financial crisis 
signaling a decline of American power and the weakening of US will and capacity to act in defence of its 
interests and influence in the western Pacific region. Such perceptions, however, cannot stand up to rigorous 
analysis. Unfortunately, such headline-grabbing rhetoric has created undue alarm in Washington. By the same
token, talk by American diplomats about the US “returning to Asia” has been wrongly interpreted in China as 
designed to weaken Beijing’s cultivation of harmonious ties with its Asian neighbours.   
In actuality, the US has never left Asia. Its forward projection capabilities continue to be unrivaled and several 
decades ahead  of China. Just witness the speed of the US Navy’s delivery of emergency aid in the wake of the 
Aceh earthquake and tsunami in 2004 and again after the powerful earthquake in northeastern Japan in 2011.
China not only lacks the material capacity to match the US on this front; it also has a long way to go in winning 
goodwill from its Asian neighbours to allow for even  non-combat use of its naval capacity. Southeast Asian 
states provide little room for a rise in Chinese influence at the expense of the Americans’. 
The short conclusion is that the dynamics in geo-strategic relations between Beijing and Washington need to be 
better understood as a continuous search for levels of comfort in co-existence in the western Pacific. The South 
China Sea then, features as an occasional component of a larger set of uncertainties between the two capitals.
Not Sustainable
A fairly firm recognition between Beijing and Washington has emerged that the past year’s state of affairs over 
the South China Sea issue is not sustainable. The holding of the first official US-China dialogue on the Asia 
Pacific in late June served as a visible testimony of that changing calculation. Barring unforeseen 
developments, the coming ASEAN Regional Forum of 2011 is not likely to see the same showdown between 
Chinese and American diplomats over the SCS issue. 
The route of China’s diplomacy to the Southeast Asian capitals does not have go through Washington. An ideal 
development to follow is for high-ranking officials and even the head of state of China to pay reciprocal visits to 
capital cities of the other claimant states, beginning with Manila and Hanoi. Such exchange of visits may not 
produce immediate results on dispute resolution over the South China Sea. But public shows of both sides 
reaching out to each other are necessary for cooling down temperatures.

(Zha Daojiong is Professor of International Political Economy at the School of International Studies, Peking 
University, China and a Visiting Senior Research Fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies 
(RSIS), Nanyang Technological University).
NOTE: THIS IS A CROSS POST FROM RSIS COMMENTARIES
Reference:
S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, NTU, South Spine, Block S4, Level B4, Nanyang Avenue, 
Singapore 639798.  Tel. No. 67906982, Email: wwwrsis@ntu.edu.sg, Website: www.rsis.edu.sg.
Advertisements
Post a comment or leave a trackback: Trackback URL.

Comments

  • Ata  On July 23, 2011 at 5:10 pm

    Thanks Yasmeen for this excellent Chinese view point, which is so sober and so dignified response from the worlds strongest emerging power with the biggest economical clout…
    Ata

Trackbacks

  • […] #split {}#single {}#splitalign {margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;}#singlealign {margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;}.linkboxtext {line-height: 1.4em;}.linkboxcontainer {padding: 7px 7px 7px 7px;background-color:#FFFFF;border-color:#FFFFF;border-width:0px; border-style:solid;}.linkboxdisplay {padding: 7px 7px 7px 7px;}.linkboxdisplay td {text-align: center;}.linkboxdisplay a:link {text-decoration: none;}.linkboxdisplay a:hover {text-decoration: underline;} function opensplitdropdown() { document.getElementById('splittablelinks').style.display = ''; document.getElementById('splitmouse').style.display = 'none'; var titleincell = document.getElementById('titleincell').value; if (titleincell == 'yes') {document.getElementById('splittitletext').style.display = 'none';} } function closesplitdropdown() { document.getElementById('splittablelinks').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('splitmouse').style.display = ''; var titleincell = document.getElementById('titleincell').value; if (titleincell == 'yes') {document.getElementById('splittitletext').style.display = '';} } Transcript: President Obama and Chinese President Hu Jintao – Welcoming Ceremony – White House – January 19, 2011Vietnam Locks horns with China over South China SeaThe South China Sea ConundrumTaiwan makes environmental push in disputed South China SeaDr. South China Sea dispute is not the main reason to promote the Southeast Asian arms purchaseSouth China Sea Diplomacy: More Needs to be Done […]

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: